Loksabha 2024: It will not be easy for the Modi government to return to power in the likely Lok Sabha elections in April-May next year. The Indian National Development Inclusive Alliance (INDIA) stood in front of him as a tough challenge. In this too, there are five such prominent faces who are going to be a problem for Modi.
At the top of these is Bihar’s Sushasan Babu i.e. Nitish Kumar. After this, the powerful leader of Bengal Mamta Banerjee comes on the second number. After this, Arvind Kejriwal, the captain of the Aam Aadmi Party, who played his sting in Delhi and Punjab. Skilled politician K Chandrasekhar Rao of the Indian National Committee (BRS) and MK Stalin of the DMK at the South Fort.
What is the strength of Nitish Kumar?
Be it the ruling party or the opposition, Nitish Kumar’s stature never shrinks when he joins any alliance. One of the main reasons for this is his own solid vote bank. Be it any election, Nitish Kumar manages to garner 22 percent votes for his party. Along with Bihar, Nitish Kumar also has partial penetration in Uttar Pradesh. Where Nitish Kumar has monopoly over 16 percent Kurmi vote bank in Bihar. Similarly, he is considered expert in stealing 6 percent Kurmi votes in UP as well.
When Nitish was with the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the NDA won 39 out of 40 seats there. Now the dice has turned. This time Nitish Kumar is with INDIA. Opposition solidarity foundation against Modi or rather India was started on the initiative of Nitish Kumar.
Mamta is a big problem for Modi
Bengal is such a strong fortress that even the skilful political duo of Narendra Modi and Amit Shah have not been able to penetrate completely. Here in West Bengal, there has been a decline in BJP’s vote bank as compared to the last Lok Sabha and Assembly elections. That’s why it is bound to increase the concern of PM Modi and Amit Shah.
It is a different matter that despite this decline, the BJP top leadership, especially Amit Shah, has set a target of getting 35 out of 42 Lok Sabha seats here. The BJP leadership believes that when Narendra Modi comes for the election campaign, the equation will change a lot. Compared to the last assembly elections, BJP’s vote percentage has dropped by about 38 percent in the panchayat elections.
However, for this the BJP is also blaming the violence there. There has been a jump in the vote percentage of the Left and Congress alliance. His vote has increased from 10 percent to 20.80 percent. Trinamool Congress (TMC) has got a big advantage in these elections. TMC got 51.14 percent votes in these elections. This is the best performance by TMC in any election so far. TMC got 48 percent votes in the last assembly elections.
Kejriwal will also do wonders
Narendra Modi Kejriwal will also play an important role in putting obstacles in the way. Arvind Kejriwal had formed the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) government in Delhi for the first time on the basis of free electricity and water. Today, more or less all the opposition parties, even the Congress government in Rajasthan is following this path. There too, Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot has adopted this trick.
With the help of this, you formed your government with a huge majority in Punjab as well and made all your opponents angry. Arvind Kejriwal’s AAP party surprised everyone here in Punjab by securing 42.01 percent votes. Congress was the only other party here after AAP whose vote share reached 22.08 per cent.
The condition of the ruling BJP at the center was very pathetic here. He got only 6.60 percent votes. Not only this, AAP’s performance was very good in the assembly elections held in Gujarat this year. According to an estimate, he got around 12 percent votes here.
MK Stalin and KCR are strong in the South
in the south karnataka assembly election After the defeat, the problems of the Modi government have increased further. It will not be easy for Modi’s government to deal with the challenge of Congress as well as DMK’s MK Stalin and Bhartiya Rashtra Samithi (BRS) i.e. K Chandrasekhar Rao (KCR) in Telangana. Despite this, BJP this time Lok Sabha Elections In the South, most of the expectations are from Telangana only.
Despite winning just one seat in the last assembly elections in 2018, the performance of the BJP in Lok Sabha 2019 was very good. BJP had won 4 Lok Sabha seats here. From this point of view, its impact falls on total 21 assembly constituencies. Assembly elections are also going to be held here this year.
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